Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.008881 0.010535 0.012545 0.015211 0.018721 0.023288 0.029863
2025-05-04 0.006731 0.008636 0.011232 0.015173 0.021296 0.031023 0.049090
2025-05-11 0.005587 0.007530 0.010380 0.015128 0.023456 0.038990 0.075386
2025-05-18 0.004753 0.006626 0.009521 0.014682 0.024627 0.045825 0.107462
2025-05-25 0.004085 0.005834 0.008639 0.013899 0.024798 0.050714 0.142404
2025-06-01 0.003613 0.005265 0.008004 0.013372 0.025256 0.056647 0.193430
2025-06-08 0.003364 0.005017 0.007859 0.013728 0.027807 0.070374 0.321683
2025-06-15 0.003087 0.004683 0.007502 0.013556 0.029020 0.081339 0.495112
2025-06-22 0.002783 0.004266 0.006931 0.012799 0.028415 0.085452 0.651128
2025-06-29 0.002619 0.004075 0.006758 0.012888 0.030246 0.101868 1.183331
2025-07-06 0.002514 0.003979 0.006752 0.013364 0.033509 0.130462 3.042486
2025-07-13 0.002445 0.003939 0.006851 0.014119 0.038176 0.177981 15.813182
2025-07-20 0.002335 0.003825 0.006814 0.014621 0.042757 0.245248 1689.173351
2025-07-27 0.002191 0.003635 0.006593 0.014590 0.045416 0.312605 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002064 0.003463 0.006386 0.014547 0.048110 0.402195 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001927 0.003258 0.006077 0.014124 0.048791 0.474783 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001784 0.003030 0.005690 0.013381 0.047435 0.507914 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001670 0.002852 0.005398 0.012881 0.047163 0.572907 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001615 0.002789 0.005370 0.013220 0.052000 0.860688 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001537 0.002673 0.005201 0.013056 0.053774 1.114008 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001437 0.002505 0.004888 0.012337 0.051483 1.141801 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001386 0.002434 0.004809 0.012421 0.054850 1.676517 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001355 0.002406 0.004830 0.012873 0.061554 3.239306 NaN